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PORTSIDE  September 2011, Week 1

PORTSIDE September 2011, Week 1

Subject:

When Debt is Fraud, Debt Forgiveness is the Last and Only Remedy

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Date:

Mon, 5 Sep 2011 02:12:39 -0400

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Endgame: When Debt is Fraud, Debt Forgiveness is the Last
and Only Remedy
Zeus Yiamouyiannis, Ph.D.
Zero Hedge
copyright 2011
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-endgame-when-debt-fraud-debt-forgiveness-last-and-only-remedy

Introduction

Finally serious economists are considering a position I
have been maintaining and writing about since the 2008
financial meltdown. Whatever its name- erasure,
repudiation, abolishment, cancellation, jubilee-debt
forgiveness, will have to eventually emerge forefront in
global efforts to solve an ongoing systemic financial
crisis.

"On a grand scale the only way to erase counterfeit
money and (counterfeit) assets of hundreds of trillions
of dollars is to erase the debts associated with those
fake assets. (Let me underscore again, these are not
"toxic" assets, they are fake assets.). Forgiveness in
general, and forgiveness of debt in particular, stand as
virtues if they free us up to acknowledge, address, and
learn from our culpability, start anew, and create
forward." (The Big Squeeze, Part 3: The Quiet Rebellion:
Civil Disobedience, Local Markets, and Debt Erasure
(January 29, 2011) Debt forgiveness, therefore,
accomplishes two important things. It eliminates the
increasing and outsized portion of productive enterprise
to pay off unproductive obligations, and it clears the
ground for new opportunities, new thinking, invention,
and entrepreneurialism. This is why the ability to
declare bankruptcy is so essential in the pursuit of
both happiness and innovation.

Currently we are mired in a "new normal" and calls for
"austerity" which are nothing more than the delusional
efforts of a status quo to avoid the consequences of its
own error and fraud and to profit evermore. So bedazzled
by the false wealth created by debt multiplication and
its concomitant fantasy of ever-higher returns, this
status quo continues to be stupidly amazed that people
are not spending and that the economy is not picking up.
But how could it be otherwise?

Productive wealth has been trapped in a web of parasitic
theft, counterfeiting, liability evasion, non-
regulation, and prosecutorial non-accountability. All
the fundamental attributes of a functioning exchange
economy have been warped to reward creative criminals. I
spoke extensively about this in my posts from 2008.
(Imaginary Worth, Empire of Debt: How Modern Finance
Created Its Own Downfall (October 15, 2008)

The unsustainable nature of debt

Two observations: 1) Fabricated/parasitic so-called
"wealth" destroys value by diluting the value of
productive wealth. 2) Debt/credit that cannot be paid
back is never an asset and is always a hot-potato
liability (needing to be foisted to a greater fool to
garner "profit" and transaction fees):

"The models [modern debt are] based upon had no contact
with reality. They assumed unlimited growth and ability
to pay. When matched against the reality of people
paying ten times their salary for mortgages that
actually added more money owed to their principal (i.e.
with negative amortization), required no money down, and
set up "balloon payments," large step-ups in payments
after a few years) there is no possible way they could
NOT default in a predictable span of time." (Part II:
How the Credit Default Swap Scam Works (October 13,
2008) Systemically, all debt that charges a percentage
("usury") originates in delusion. Debt grows
exponentially indefinitely, growth (income and
otherwise) cannot. This leads to a widening condition
where the fruits of productive "growth" devoted to
interest payments increase until those fruits are
entirely consumed. (The Elephant In The Room: Debt Grows
Exponentially, While Economies Only Grow In An S-Curve
(Washington's Blog)

Once this happens, stores of wealth (hard assets) begin
to be cannibalized to make up for the difference. You
see this in Greece with its sale of public assets to
private companies, and in middle-class America where
people are liquidating retirement accounts to pay for
their cost of living.

This problem is compounded by a private Federal Reserve
that lends money into circulation at interest, and then
allows the multiplication of this consumer debt-money
liability through fractional reserve banking. The money
in circulation today could pay only a small fraction of
the total private and public debt. That fact alone is
evidence of a kind of systemic fraud. "If you just work
hard enough, save, and make sensible decisions, you can
get out of debt" could only physically work for a bare
fraction of the population, given the money-to-debt
ratio. The rest would have to simply default to clear
the boards.

This is why debt forgiveness makes not only moral but
rational, mathematical sense. Finances require balancing
to be coherent. There must be some way to redress
systemic imbalance. One has to be able to "zero the
scales" to get an accurate weight of value and to re-
establish healthy value creation.

Voices in the debate

Some analysts are beginning to see the forest through
the trees in terms of debt forgiveness. Steve Keen,
Australian economist and current deflationist, and
Michael Hudson, American economic contrarian and
prescient essayist, are both using clear-sighted
reality-based financial analysis to debunk accounting
games that obscure the untenable debt situation and to
call for debt forgiveness.

How can selling sovereign assets and imposing austerity
on Greek citizens (taking money out of their hands
through higher taxes and lower benefits) do anything
other than hollow out value and contract the Greek
economy in the face of a deep global recession? Michael
Hudson: It can't. Greece's debt needs to be written off.

"It seems unreasonable and unrealistic to expect that
large sectors of the New European population can be made
subject to salary garnishment throughout their lives,
reducing them to a lifetime of debt peonage. (T)he only
way to resolve it is to negotiate a debt write-off."
(The Coming European Debt Wars: EU Countries sinking
into Depression (Michael Hudson, Global Research, April
9, 2010) ("[We'll Have] a Never-Ending Depression Unless
We Repudiate the Debt, Which Never Should Have Been
Extended In The First Place" (Washington's Blog) Why
isn't "quantitative easing" and flooding the U.S.
economy with debt-money working to prime borrowing and
lending? Steve Keen: Because the money is going into
deleveraging in a time of overextension:

"Bernanke is throwing (a) trillion dollars into the
system. Rather than that leading to ten trillion dollars
of additional credit money, creating the inflation
people are expecting, that trillion dollars is all that
goes in, and people deleveraging actually reduce their
level of spending by more than a trillion dollars by
trying to pay their debt down, and it cancels out what
the government is trying to do. We need a 21st century
jubilee." (On the Edge with . . . Steve Keen (Max
Keiser, video) Other well-known commentators are not
seeing the debt forest at all. In their contentious
debates over deflation and inflation, neither Rick
Ackerman nor Gonzalo Lira seem to be aware of the
overwhelmingly fraudulent nature of present global
debt-- including the 600 to 1,000 trillion dollars of
fabricated notional wealth represented by the
derivatives markets, fraudclosure, and a host of other
sources.

Rick Ackerman: "'Ultimately, every penny of every debt
must be paid - if not by the borrower, then by the
lender.' Inflationists and deflationists implicitly
agree on this point. and we differ only on the question
of who, borrower or lender, will take the hit." (Let's
Think This Through Together....)

I posted a pithy response in the comment section:

"Both Rick and Gonzalo left out the obvious third way--
debt forgiveness. No. debt does not have to be paid by
someone; it can be absolved, especially debt created
upon fraudulent and/or counterfeit-ridden practice. (D)
erivatives are not real wealth, and neither was the
ostensible climb in the values of housing resting in
large part on those phony-wealth derivatives. The only
"real wealth" here revolves around ability to produce
real and needed goods (to allow us to survive), and the
ability to create something that increases one's quality
of life (to promote our thriving). Precious little of
the present global economy involves either one of these.
Yeah, if we use FASB standards and Goldman Sachs
accounting, we can pretend our worthless junk is all
really simply very rare, "unique condition" collectibles
worth trillions of dollars. I've got a better idea. Take
our financial junk out of the global attic in boxes, put
them out on the front lawn, and see if anyone wants to
pay a few bucks for the various items, give away the
leftovers to anyone interested passing on the sidewalk,
and recycle, donate, or dispose of the rest. It's a
moving sale, and if our economy is going to get moving,
maybe we ought to have one." (Zeus Yiamouyiannis April
6, 2011 at 4:11 pm) How it might play out

This subtle debt extortion creates a system of never-
ending debt-slavery for a vast majority of the
population. When this "manageable" slavery is aggravated
by a desire to use hardship to extort ever greater
assets from the overburdened at ever cheaper prices
(what Naomi Klein calls "disaster capitalism"), by open
and unapologetic widespread fraud, and by the unjust
offloading of risk and liability to taxpayers who had
nothing to do with poor decisions of private banks, then
the systemic abuse is revealed in the daily lives of
citizens.

Debt creates scarcity, which stimulates fear, which
drives manic competition, which favors opportunism,
collusion, and concentrations of power, which translates
to abuse, which results in a collapse of legitimacy for
the economic system. Overreach causes a breaking point,
and we are getting close to it. Will the response be
warfare, taxpayer revolt, political upheaval, mass
default, debt forgiveness, something other, some
combination? I have predicted pockets of violence would
be mixed with some softer combination of taxpayer
revolt, mass default, political upheaval, and debt
forgiveness, along with a return to community exchange
to meet basic needs. (The Big Squeeze, Part 3: The Quiet
Rebellion: Civil Disobedience, Local Markets, and Debt
Erasure (January 29, 2011)

This possibility of epic reprisal may very well compel
banks to come to the table around debt forgiveness to
avoid violent backlash and criminal prosecution, even
over preserving their gravy train companies. The bitter
irony of these companies and their galloping greed is
that they ended up victimizing each other by selling
junk to each other and extracting all the real value in
salary and bonuses. Their assets rest on notional
values, that when unmasked would drive each into
immediate insolvency. They have simply been scam
artists, producing little value and extracting mountains
of money.

What might this look like? Looking at present trends and
using the very useful framework of Kubler-Ross's stages
of grief, it might go something like this.

Average debtor:

1) Denial: Liquidate savings to pay for over-priced
house and cost of living. 2) Anger and fear: Exhaust
resources, experience want, compounded by austerity
measures. 3) Bargaining: Attempt to negotiate with bank
through HAMP and other mechanisms to lower payments.
Banks don 't bite and even have incentives to foreclose.
4) Depression: Lose/default on the house and move in
with family or cheap rental. 5) Find out life is better
without being a debt slave and spend more time with
community and the ones you love.

Bankers:

1) Denial: Collect 144 billion in bonuses after
financial collapse and laugh as not a single trading day
loss arises for zombie TBTF banks completely subsidized
by governments. 2) Anger: Express false righteousness,
indignation, and hubris over even modest/toothless
demands/regulations attempted to be placed on them by
governments. Exhibit sadistic zeal at being able to
simply claim you own and liquidate properties they have
no clear title to. 3) Bargaining: Experience dawning
awareness that may have just cooked your own gooses as
strategic defaults skyrocket, populist demands to
prosecute fraudclosure gain traction, and quantitative
easing ad infinitum dwindles and fails to keep stock
prices artificially aloft. Improvise panicked attempts
to "be reasonable" and actually negotiate, once the
asset and money flow well runs dry. 4) Depression:
Contemplate and realize possible bankruptcy by big
banks. Retreat to the Hamptons to hire criminal defense
lawyers, contemplate empty life, and shoulder the abuse
of media and contempt of a global citizenry. 5)
Acceptance: Trying to regain "good guy" status and avoid
criminal prosecution by agreeing to be part of debt
forgiveness.

Once defaults happen in increasing numbers and certain
asset prices plunge (i.e. real estate), what will
initially look like a bonanza for capitalist parasites
could easily get out of hand, with people either unable
or unwilling to buy inventory even at greatly reduced
prices. Profits would tank at banks, liabilities would
skyrocket even with most of it transferred to government
guarantee. Because no one plays the game anymore, banks
could go under as well, as people rise to vote out bank-
friendly politicians and simply refuse to pay. This
unraveling could easily force exposure of the notional
value of derivatives in banks as worthless, meaning they
are as bankrupt as the people they exploited. At this
point, there will be a common desire and need to simply
"forgive" the debts and try to find some way to
distribute these empty homes.

Conclusion

Debt forgiveness simply calls out either the inherent
systemic inability to make good on debts or the
recognition that debt was produced through fraudulent
means. In the present situation, both conditions obtain.
There has likely been no point in world history where
debt forgiveness has been so comprehensively merited.
The only speculation from my point (barring world-wide
global feudalism and eternal debt slavery) is whether we
will initiate such forgiveness or be forced into it.

___________________________________________

Portside aims to provide material of interest to people
on the left that will help them to interpret the world
and to change it.

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