LISTSERV mailing list manager LISTSERV 16.0

Help for PORTSIDE Archives


PORTSIDE Archives

PORTSIDE Archives


PORTSIDE@LISTS.PORTSIDE.ORG


View:

Message:

[

First

|

Previous

|

Next

|

Last

]

By Topic:

[

First

|

Previous

|

Next

|

Last

]

By Author:

[

First

|

Previous

|

Next

|

Last

]

Font:

Proportional Font

LISTSERV Archives

LISTSERV Archives

PORTSIDE Home

PORTSIDE Home

PORTSIDE  September 2012, Week 1

PORTSIDE September 2012, Week 1

Subject:

As Goes the South: Your Convention Guide to Southern Politics

From:

Portside Moderator <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

[log in to unmask]

Date:

Tue, 4 Sep 2012 22:32:52 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (172 lines)

SPECIAL REPORT - As Goes the South: Your convention guide to
Southern politics
 
By Chris Kromm
Posted to Portside by the author
September 4, 2012

http://www.southernstudies.org

"As goes the South, so goes the nation." - W.E.B. DuBois
 
With the nation's eyes on party conventions in Tampa and
Charlotte, the media is cramming to get a handle on the
Southern political landscape. The resulting punditry has
ranged from thoughtful analysis of changes in the South to
rants blaming the region for all (or most) of the nation's
ills.
 
Drawing on the Institute for Southern Studies' 40-year
history of tracking politics in the South, including recent
in-depth analysis of the demographic changes now dramatically
altering the region, here is a short primer in the key trends
to watch:
 
1) THE SOUTH IS GROWING
 
The South is the fastest-growing region in the country.
According to the 2010 Census, half of the states with the
biggest percentage increase in the country over the last
decade were in the 13-state* Southern region.
 
And while states in the Mountain West had similarly large
percentage increases, Southern states are bigger and had
larger increases in total numbers. That trend appears to be
continuing: The Census Bureau estimates that the states
adding the most people between 2010 and 2011 were Texas
(529,000), California (438,000), Florida (256,000), Georgia
(128,000) and North Carolina (121,000).
 
2) THE SOUTH'S NATIONAL POLITICAL IMPORTANCE IS RISING
 
With growth comes political clout. Southern states gained
eight Congressional seats and Electoral College votes in
post-Census redistricting and reapportionment. Today, nearly
one-third of the total Electoral College votes needed to be
elected president come from Southern states -- and that share
will likely grow in the future.
 
In other words, bypassing the South (for Democrats) or taking
the region for granted (for Republicans) is not an option for
any party interested in a winning political strategy. That's
why the parties are holding their convention in the emerging
Southern battleground states of Florida and North Carolina.
 
3) THE SOUTH IS RAPIDLY CHANGING
 
Demographics are changing everywhere in the country, but it's
happening faster in the South. Here are some of the ways the
face of the South is changing:
 
* New Immigrants: Nine of the 12 states with the fastest-
growing Latino/Hispanic populations in the 2010 Census were
in the South. The political clout of Latinos is clear in a
state like Florida, where Latino eligible voters increased by
two-thirds over the last decade and now make up nearly 17
percent of the state's voters. But the Latino electorate is
also growing in North Carolina, with registrations doubling
since 2008 and making up two percent of voters -- enough to
sway a close election.
 
The key here is a registration gap. In North Carolina, for
example, about 60 percent of eligible Latino/Hispanic
citizens aren't registered to vote. (For great information on
the Latino vote, visit www.latinovotemap.org.)
 
* The Black Belt: Half of the nation's African-Americans live
in Southern states. An under-reported story of the 2010
Census was the growth of black communities in the South --
including an acceleration of return migration from cities in
the North and Midwest. The growth is especially clear in
cities: Six of the 10 urban areas with the biggest increase
in African-Americans were in the South, including Charlotte
(number six, 121,500-person increase) and two in Florida
(Miami, where the black population grew by 191,700, and
Orlando, by 100,600).
 
* The "Majority-Minority" South: Growing Latino and African-
American communities are pushing hundreds of Southern
counties towards so-called "majority minority" status. (It's
not just those two groups: North Carolina, for example, had
the third-biggest increase in Asian-Americans over the last
decade.) The number of majority-people of color counties is
projected to double over the next generation, a dramatic
shift that will make the South increasingly competitive
politically.
 
* The Urban South: Another big change in the Southern
electorate is the growth of Southern cities. The 2010 Census
showed that, in the South as elsewhere, populations moved to
the metro areas. These are now centers of a more diverse,
younger and growing South that will increasingly shape the
region's political future.
 
The paradox: Even while cities grow, the South (like the
upper Plains West) still tends to be more rural than the rest
of the country, creating a growing divide between urban and
rural voters. So even though most of the population growth in
North Carolina, for example, has been clustered in counties
around Charlotte, the Triad and the Triangle, the still-large
rural vote was key in the state's recent passage of an anti-
gay marriage amendment.
 
4) THE FUTURE OF "THE NEW MAJORITY"
 
Every state in the South is seeing demographic transition,
just at different speeds and to different degrees. Combined
with the growth of urban areas and different industries, the
question isn't if the South's electorate will change, but
when it will affect each state.
 
A big factor in the electoral power of the new, emerging
South are a series of policy changes which are having the net
effect of restricting the political voice of younger voters
and people of color:
 
* Voter ID laws in Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee,
Texas and other states are facing fierce resistance -- and
effective court challenges -- because of the disproportionate
impact they could have on historically disenfranchised
voters.
 
* The ultimate impact of redistricting after the 2010 Census
has been to dillute the overall power of African-American and
Latino voters, thinly spreading them in most districts and
hyper-concentrating them in others.
 
* Anti-immigrant legislation spearheaded in Alabama, Georgia,
Mississippi and other states has appeared to have a chilling
effect on new immigration into targeted Southern states,
momentarily slowing -- if not ultimately changing -- their
demographic transitions.
 
In 2012, the ability to mobilize -- or block -- such key
constituencies from voting could mean the difference in
battleground states like Florida, North Carolina and
Virginia. And in fast-changing states like Georgia,
Mississippi, Tennessee and Texas, these trends will shape the
balance of power for decades to come.
 
( The Institute includes the following 13 states in its
definition of the South: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South
Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia.)A
 

___________________________________________

Portside aims to provide material of interest to people
on the left that will help them to interpret the world
and to change it.

Submit via email: [log in to unmask]

Submit via the Web: http://portside.org/submittous3

Frequently asked questions: http://portside.org/faq

Sub/Unsub: http://portside.org/subscribe-and-unsubscribe

Search Portside archives: http://portside.org/archive

Contribute to Portside: https://portside.org/donate

Top of Message | Previous Page | Permalink

Advanced Options


Options

Log In

Log In

Get Password

Get Password


Search Archives

Search Archives


Subscribe or Unsubscribe

Subscribe or Unsubscribe


Archives

April 2014, Week 4
April 2014, Week 3
April 2014, Week 2
April 2014, Week 1
March 2014, Week 5
March 2014, Week 4
March 2014, Week 3
March 2014, Week 2
March 2014, Week 1
February 2014, Week 4
February 2014, Week 3
February 2014, Week 2
February 2014, Week 1
January 2014, Week 5
January 2014, Week 4
January 2014, Week 3
January 2014, Week 2
January 2014, Week 1
December 2013, Week 5
December 2013, Week 4
December 2013, Week 3
December 2013, Week 2
December 2013, Week 1
November 2013, Week 5
November 2013, Week 4
November 2013, Week 3
November 2013, Week 2
November 2013, Week 1
October 2013, Week 5
October 2013, Week 4
October 2013, Week 3
October 2013, Week 2
October 2013, Week 1
September 2013, Week 5
September 2013, Week 4
September 2013, Week 3
September 2013, Week 2
September 2013, Week 1
August 2013, Week 5
August 2013, Week 4
August 2013, Week 3
August 2013, Week 2
August 2013, Week 1
July 2013, Week 5
July 2013, Week 4
July 2013, Week 3
July 2013, Week 2
July 2013, Week 1
June 2013, Week 5
June 2013, Week 4
June 2013, Week 3
June 2013, Week 2
June 2013, Week 1
May 2013, Week 5
May 2013, Week 4
May 2013, Week 3
May 2013, Week 2
May 2013, Week 1
April 2013, Week 5
April 2013, Week 4
April 2013, Week 3
April 2013, Week 2
April 2013, Week 1
March 2013, Week 5
March 2013, Week 4
March 2013, Week 3
March 2013, Week 2
March 2013, Week 1
February 2013, Week 4
February 2013, Week 3
February 2013, Week 2
February 2013, Week 1
January 2013, Week 5
January 2013, Week 4
January 2013, Week 3
January 2013, Week 2
January 2013, Week 1
December 2012, Week 5
December 2012, Week 4
December 2012, Week 3
December 2012, Week 2
December 2012, Week 1
November 2012, Week 5
November 2012, Week 4
November 2012, Week 3
November 2012, Week 2
November 2012, Week 1
October 2012, Week 5
October 2012, Week 4
October 2012, Week 3
October 2012, Week 2
October 2012, Week 1
September 2012, Week 5
September 2012, Week 4
September 2012, Week 3
September 2012, Week 2
September 2012, Week 1
August 2012, Week 5
August 2012, Week 4
August 2012, Week 3
August 2012, Week 2
August 2012, Week 1
July 2012, Week 5
July 2012, Week 4
July 2012, Week 3
July 2012, Week 2
July 2012, Week 1
June 2012, Week 5
June 2012, Week 4
June 2012, Week 3
June 2012, Week 2
June 2012, Week 1
May 2012, Week 5
May 2012, Week 4
May 2012, Week 3
May 2012, Week 2
May 2012, Week 1
April 2012, Week 5
April 2012, Week 4
April 2012, Week 3
April 2012, Week 2
April 2012, Week 1
March 2012, Week 5
March 2012, Week 4
March 2012, Week 3
March 2012, Week 2
March 2012, Week 1
February 2012, Week 5
February 2012, Week 4
February 2012, Week 3
February 2012, Week 2
February 2012, Week 1
January 2012, Week 5
January 2012, Week 4
January 2012, Week 3
January 2012, Week 2
January 2012, Week 1
December 2011, Week 5
December 2011, Week 4
December 2011, Week 3
December 2011, Week 2
December 2011, Week 1
November 2011, Week 5
November 2011, Week 4
November 2011, Week 3
November 2011, Week 2
November 2011, Week 1
October 2011, Week 5
October 2011, Week 4
October 2011, Week 3
October 2011, Week 2
October 2011, Week 1
September 2011, Week 5
September 2011, Week 4
September 2011, Week 3
September 2011, Week 2
September 2011, Week 1
August 2011, Week 5
August 2011, Week 4
August 2011, Week 3
August 2011, Week 2
August 2011, Week 1
July 2011, Week 5
July 2011, Week 4
July 2011, Week 3
July 2011, Week 2
July 2011, Week 1
June 2011, Week 5
June 2011, Week 4
June 2011, Week 3
June 2011, Week 2
June 2011, Week 1
May 2011, Week 5
May 2011, Week 4
May 2011, Week 3
May 2011, Week 2
May 2011, Week 1
April 2011, Week 5
April 2011, Week 4
April 2011, Week 3
April 2011, Week 2
April 2011, Week 1
March 2011, Week 5
March 2011, Week 4
March 2011, Week 3
March 2011, Week 2
March 2011, Week 1
February 2011, Week 4
February 2011, Week 3
February 2011, Week 2
February 2011, Week 1
January 2011, Week 5
January 2011, Week 4
January 2011, Week 3
January 2011, Week 2
January 2011, Week 1
December 2010, Week 5
December 2010, Week 4
December 2010, Week 3
December 2010, Week 2
December 2010, Week 1
November 2010, Week 5
November 2010, Week 4
November 2010, Week 3
November 2010, Week 2
November 2010, Week 1
October 2010, Week 5
October 2010, Week 4
October 2010, Week 3
October 2010, Week 2
October 2010, Week 1
September 2010, Week 5
September 2010, Week 4
September 2010, Week 3
September 2010, Week 2
September 2010, Week 1
August 2010, Week 5
August 2010, Week 4
August 2010, Week 3
August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1

ATOM RSS1 RSS2



LISTS.PORTSIDE.ORG

CataList Email List Search Powered by the LISTSERV Email List Manager